The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2017 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts

Release Date: March 2017

Number of Pages: 363

Number of Tables and Figures: 117

Synopsis: Despite the lack of sufficient LTE coverage in parts of the world, mobile operators and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop 5G, the next evolution in mobile networks. 5G is expected to provide a single network environment to deliver not only existing mobile broadband and IoT services, but also new innovations such as self-driving cars, cloud robotics, 3D holographic telepresence and remote surgery with haptic feedback.

In fact, many mobile operators are betting on 5G to diversify their revenue streams, as conventional voice and data service ARPUs decline globally. For example, South Korea's KT has established a dedicated business unit for holograms, which it envisions to be a key source of revenue for its future 5G network.

At present, the 3GPP and other SDOs (Standards Development Organizations) are engaged in defining the first phase of 5G specifications. However, pre-standards 5G network rollouts are already underway, most notably in the United States and South Korea, as mobile operators rush to be the first to offer 5G services. SNS Research estimates that by the end of 2017, pre-standards 5G network investments are expected to account for over $250 Million.

Although 2020 has conventionally been regarded as the headline date for 5G commercialization, the very first standardized deployments of the technology are expected to be commercialized as early as 2019 with the 3GPP's initial 5G specifications set to be implementation-ready by March 2018. Between 2019 and 2025, we expect the 5G network infrastructure market to aggressively grow at a CAGR of nearly 70%, eventually accounting for $28 Billion in annual spending by the end of 2025. These infrastructure investments will be complemented by annual shipments of up to 520 Million 5G-capable devices.

The “5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2017 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, usage scenarios, vertical market applications, mobile operator deployment commitments, case studies, spectrum availability/allocation, standardization, research initiatives and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G investments and operator services.

The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report, as well as a 5G deployment tracking database covering over 60 global 5G trials, demos and commercial deployment commitments (as of Q1’2017).

Sample Request:

For a sample of the report or any further inquiries please contact info@snstelecom.com

Pricing:

The report is available for the following price:

  • Single User License: USD 2,500
  • Company Wide License: USD 3,500

Key Findings:

The report has the following key findings:

  • The Unites States and South Korea are spearheading early investments in pre-standards 5G trial networks, as mobile operators rush to be the first to offer 5G services. SNS Research estimates that by the end of 2017, pre-standards 5G network investments are expected to account for over $250 Million.
  • Following completion of the 3GPP's first phase of 5G specifications in March 2018, SNS Research expects that early adopters across the globe will simultaneously begin commercializing 5G services in 2019.
  • Between 2019 and 2025, we expect the 5G network infrastructure market to aggressively grow at a CAGR of nearly 70%, eventually accounting for $28 Billion in annual spending by the end of 2025.
  • Although early 5G R&D investments have primarily targeted the radio access segment, network-slicing has recently emerged as necessary "end-to-end" capability to guarantee performance for different 5G applications which may have contrasting requirements.
  • In order to support diverse usage scenarios, 5G networks are expected to utilize a variety of frequency bands ranging from established sub-6 GHz cellular bands to millimeter wave spectrum.

Topics Covered:

The report covers the following topics:

  • 5G NR (New Radio) and NextGen (Next Generation) system architecture
  • Market drivers and barriers to the adoption of 5G networks
  • 5G requirements, usage scenarios, vertical markets and applications
  • Key enabling technologies including air interface design, higher frequency radio access, advanced antenna systems, flexible duplex schemes, D2D (Device-to-Device) connectivity, dynamic spectrum access, self-backhauling and network slicing
  • Complementary concepts including NFV, SDN, hyperscale data centers, Cloud RAN, satellite communications and aerial networking platforms
  • Case studies and review of mobile operator 5G commitments
  • 5G standardization, development and research initiatives
  • Analysis of spectrum availability and allocation strategies for 5G networks
  • Competitive assessment of vendor strategies
  • Review of investments on R&D and pre-standards 5G networks
  • Standardized 5G infrastructure, user equipment and operator service forecasts till 2030

Forecast Segmentation:

Market forecasts are provided for each of the following submarkets and their subcategories:

  • 5G R&D Investments
    • New Air Interface & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
    • MIMO, Beamforming & Advanced Antenna Technologies
    • Spectrum Sharing, Aggregation & Interference Management
    • Virtualization & Cloud RAN
    • Network Slicing & Other Technologies
  • Pre-Standards 5G Network Investments
    • Pre-Standards Base Stations
    • Pre-Standards User Equipment
    • Transport Networking & Other Investments
  • Standardized 5G Infrastructure Investments
    • 5G NR (New Radio)
      • Distributed Macrocell Base Stations
      • Small Cells
      • RRHs (Remote Radio Heads)
      • C-RAN BBUs (Baseband Units)
    • NextGen (Next Generation) Core Network
    • Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking
  • Standardized 5G User Equipment Investments
    • Handsets
    • Tablets
    • Embedded IoT Modules
    • USB Dongles
    • Routers
  • 5G Operator Services
    • Subscriptions
    • Service Revenue
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Asia Pacific
    • Eastern Europe
    • Latin & Central America
    • Middle East & Africa
    • North America
    • Western Europe

Key Questions Answered:

The report provides answers to the following key questions:

  • How big is the opportunity for 5G network infrastructure, user equipment and operator services?
  • What trends, challenges and barriers will influence the development and adoption of 5G?
  • How will 5G drive the adoption of AR (Augmented Reality)/VR (Virtual Reality) applications such as 3D holographic telepresence and 360 degree streaming of live events?
  • How have advanced antenna and chip technologies made it possible to utilize millimeter wave spectrum for mobile communications in 5G networks?
  • How can non-orthogonal multiple access schemes such as RSMA (Resource Spread Multiple Access) enable 5G networks to support higher connection densities for Millions of IoT devices?
  • What will be the number of 5G subscriptions in 2019 and at what rate will it grow?
  • Which regions and countries will be the first to adopt 5G?
  • Which frequency bands are most likely to be utilized by 5G networks?
  • Who are the key 5G vendors and what are their strategies?
  • Will 5G networks rely on a disaggregated RAN architecture?
  • How will 5G impact the fiber industry?
  • Will satellite communications and aerial networking platforms play a wider role in 5G networks?

List of Companies Mentioned:

The following companies and organizations have been reviewed, discussed or mentioned in the report:

3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)

5G Americas

5G Forum, South Korea

5G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership)

5G TSA (5G Open Trial Specification Alliance)

5GAA (5G Automotive Association)

5GMF (Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum, Japan)

5GRUS

5GTF (5G Technical Forum)

5GTR (Turkish 5G Forum)

Alcatel-Lucent

Alpental Technologies

Alphabet

América Móvil

Anatel (Agencia Nacional de Telecomunicacoes)

Arcep

Argela

ARIB (Association of Radio Industries and Businesses)

Arqiva

Ascenta

AT&T

AT&T Mexico

Athena Wireless Communications

ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)

Avanti Communications

AVC Networks Company

Batelco

Bell Canada

BMW Group

Broadband Forum

BT Group

C Spire

CableLabs

CAICT (China Academy of Information and Communications Technology)

CCSA (China Communications Standards Association)

CEA (French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission)

CEA Tech

CEA-Leti

CEPT (European Conference of Postal and Telecommunications Administrations)

China Mobile

China Telecom

China Unicom

Chunghwa Telecom

Cisco Systems

CITEL (Inter-American Telecommunication Commission)

Claro Brasil

CMHK (China Mobile Hong Kong)

CMRI (China Mobile Research Institute)

CNIT (Italian National Consortium for Telecommunications)

Cobham Wireless

Cohere Technologies

ComReg (Commission For Communications Regulation, Ireland)

CpqD (Center for Research and Development in Telecommunications, Brazil)

CTTC (Centre Tecnològic de Telecomunicacions de Catalunya)

Datang Mobile

Datang Telecom Group

Dish Network

DSA (Dynamic Spectrum Alliance)

DT (Deutsche Telekom)

Du (Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company)

EE

Elisa

EPFL (Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne)

Ericsson

Etisalat

ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research)

ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)

EURECOM

Eutelsat

Facebook

FET (Far EasTone Telecommunications)

FiberTower Corporation

FICORA (Finnish Communications Regulatory Authority)

Fraunhofer FOKUS

Fraunhofer HHI

Fraunhofer IIS

Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft

Fujitsu

FuTURE Mobile Communication Forum, China

GISFI (Global ICT Standardization Forum for India)

Globe Telecom

Google

GSA (Global mobile Suppliers Association)

GSMA

GTI

Hiroshima University

HPE

Huawei

Hughes Network Systems

i5GF (Indonesia 5G Forum)

ICASA (Independent Communications Authority of South Africa)

ICTA (Information and Communication Technologies Authority, Turkey)

IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)

IETF (Internet Engineering Task Force)

IFT (Instituto Federal de Telecomunicaciones)

IIC (Industrial Internet Consortium)

IMDA (Info-communications Media Development Authority of Singapore)

IMDEA Networks Institute

IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group, China

Inatel (National Institute of Telecommunications, Brazil)

Industry Canada

Inmarsat

Intel Corporation

InterDigital

Istanbul University

ITRI (Industrial Technology Research Institute)

ITU (International Telecommunication Union)

JRC (Japan Radio Company)

Juniper Networks

KCL (King's College London)

KDDI Corporation

Keysight Technologies

KPN

KT Corporation

KUKA

Kumu Networks

LG Electronics

LG Uplus

Ligado Networks

Linux Foundation

M1

MACOM Technology Solutions

Malaysia 5G Committee

MCMC (Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission)

MCTIC (Ministry of Science, Technology, Innovation and Communications of Brazil)

MediaTek

MegaFon

METU (Middle East Technical University)

MIC (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan)

Microsoft Corporation

MIIT (Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China)

Mitsubishi Electric

Mobily

MOEA (Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan)

Moogsoft

MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, China)

MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, Taiwan)

MSIP (Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning, South Korea)

MTS (Mobile TeleSystems)

MTSFB (Malaysian Technical Standards Forum Bhd)

Murata Manufacturing

NBTC (National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission, Thailand)

NDRC (National Development and Reform Commission, China)

NEC Corporation

Net4Mobility

NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance

NI (National Instruments)

NICT (National Institute of Information and Communications Technology, Japan)

Nokia

Nokia Networks

NTT Communications

NTT DoCoMo

NYU (New York University)

O3b

OCP (Open Compute Project) Foundation

OFCA (Office of the Communications Authority, Hong Kong)

Ofcom

OMA (Open Mobile Alliance)

ON.Lab (Open Networking Lab)

ONF (Open Networking Foundation)

Ooredoo

Optus

Orange

Panasonic Avionics Corporation

Panasonic Corporation

PLTD

Proximus

PTS (Swedish Post and Telecom Authority)

pureLiFi

Qorvo

Qualcomm

RF DSP

RF360 Holdings

Rogers Communications

Rohde & Schwarz

Roskomnadzor

Rutgers University

Samsung Electronics

Samsung Group

SES

SiBEAM

SIMalliance

SingTel

SK Telecom

Small Cell Forum

Smart Communications

SmarTone

SoftBank Group

Sonera

Sony Corporation

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corporation)

Sprint Corporation

StarHub

STC (Saudi Telecom Company)

Stromnetz Berlin

Swisscom

TAICS (Taiwan Association of Information and Communication Standards)

Taiwan Mobile

Taiwan Star Telecom Corporation

TCG (Trusted Computing Group)

TDK Corporation

Tele2

Telecom Italia Group

Telefónica

Telenor

Telia Company

Telstra

Telus

Thales Group

TI (Texas Instruments)

TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)

TIM (Telecom Italia Mobile)

Time Warner

Titan Aerospace

TM Forum

T-Mobile USA

Tokyo Institute of Technology

TRA (Telecommunications Regulatory Authority, UAE)

TSDSI (Telecommunications Standards Development Society, India)

TTA (Telecommunications Technology Association of Korea)

TTC (Telecommunication Technology Committee, Japan)

TU Dresden

Turkcell

U.S. Cellular

U.S. Department of Commerce

U.S. Department of Defense

U.S. FCC (Federal Communications Commission)

U.S. NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)

U.S. NSF (National Science Foundation)

UN (United Nations)

University of California San Diego

University of Edinburgh

University of Kaiserslautern

University of Oulu

University of Southern California

University of Surrey

UT Austin (University of Texas at Austin)

UTS (University of Technology Sydney)

Verizon Communications

VimpelCom

Vodafone Australia

Vodafone Germany

Vodafone Group

Vodafone Hutchison Australia

Vodafone Qatar

Vodafone Turkey

VTT Technical Research Center

W3C (World Wide Web Consortium)

WBA (Wireless Broadband Alliance)

Wi-Fi Alliance

WinnForum (Wireless Innovation Forum)

WWRF (World Wireless Research Forum)

Xilinx

XO Communications

xRAN Consortium

Yonsei University

Zain Group

ZTE